Wednesday, 10 March 2010

Analysis

Presidential election 2010: potential outsiders of the first round

Quite predictably, the start of the presidential election campaign of 2010 was accompanied by nomination of a string of new presidential candidates. Most of the new candidates are supposed to play a ‘technical’ role, stealing votes from the campaign leaders (top five candidates according to the national opinion polls). The goal of some of them is even simpler – campaigning against one specific presidential candidate. They are going to try to win a part of the electoral field of their ‘target leader’ (for instance, Oleksandr Moroz (Socialist party of Ukraine) and Petro Symonenko (Communist party of Ukraine) share the electorate).

Yanukovych vs. Tymoshenko

The official start of the presidential election campaign on October 19 and political forces beginning to nominate presidential candidates started the countdown to a new point of no return in Ukrainian domestic policy – January 17, 2010 (the first round of the presidential election) and February 7, 2010 (the second round). It is going to be a true point of no return since after the election day, not only personal representation of Ukrainian politics, but also political party segmentation of both the electoral field and the parliament will change dramatically.

Latest

Who needs Lytvyn?

January 18 was a really sad day for Verkhovna Rada Speaker Volodymyr Lytvyn – he found out he had won support of only 2,35% of Ukrainian voters. After convincing words of his team of political technologies promising that the results of the presidential election would exceed the parliamentary by at least one percent, Volodymyr Lytvyn had really believed that the country needed him. But the reality turned out cruel, and the leader of the Lytvyn bloc wasted no time in wallowing, starting instead taking care of his political future. The biggest parliamentary factions have demonstrated they need him as much as their rivals do, so Mr. Lytvyn has realized he could use this fact in his favor.

Red and blue

The presidential election campaign approaching its inevitable climax has given rise to countless analytical and quasi-analytical material around the two candidates, their platforms, possible scenarios of future events etc. However, nobody has dared play a political Nostradamus and predict the outcome due to the unpredictable and voluntaristic nature of Ukrainian politicians. The future develops based on the present. Since the main presidential candidates are not lone rangers, a closer look at their teams, the two biggest factions of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, could provide at least some insight into the situation.

Interviews

Volodymyr Lytvyn: Members of Parliament start fighting, blockade a switch room and toilets on cue

Several days are left before the presidential election, but some parties and political blocs have already started preparing for early parliamentary election. It seems to be quite a wise move since there is no doubt if a newly elected president fails to win support of the majority of Members of Ukraine’s Parliament, they will try to dissolve the Verkhovna Rada instead. Whatever the case, Ukraine is obviously in bad need of a change of the present electoral system as the election with closed lists of candidates has proven lame. Is there a chance MPs might agree to change something about it? What electoral system would be the best choice for Ukraine? Volodymyr Lytvyn, Verkhovna Rada Speaker, answers these and other questions in his interview with Fakty.

Expert Opinion

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Newsroom

Roundtable Efficiency of the Ukrainian parliament, Sumy

The Open Society Foundation (OSF) and the Center for Regional Politics held the roundtable ‘Efficiency of the Ukrainian parliament’ on December 25, 2009, in the city of Sumy (VTB bank business center, 13-a, Voskresenska Str., Sumy). ...

Roundtable ‘Efficiency of the Ukrainian parliament’, Chernihiv

The Open Society Foundation (OSF) and Chernihiv-based expert club “Fair Politics” held the roundtable ‘Efficiency of the Ukrainian parliament’ on December 9, 2009, in the city of Chernihiv (6A, Hetman Polubotko Str., Chernihiv). ...

‘On the Way to the European Union: Polands’ Experience’ Roundtable

The Open Society Foundation and Ukraine-based Polish Institute held a roundtable ‘On the Way to the European Union: Poland’s Experience’ on September 26 in Simferopol. ...

Seminar

Methods of General and Budget Analysis of Local Self-Governing Bodies ...

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